Everywhere can be read that carbon dioxide increases greenhouse effect. But there are other gases having worse effect than carbon dioxide, e.g. methane. Is carbon dioxide emission the real threat, or can we fight more effectively against global warming by reducing the emission of other gases?


No. The worst greenhouse gas is water vapor (H2O). But water is responsible for the natural greenhouse effect.

CO2 is the greenhouse gas with the "least" effect on global warming but with the most quantities available in the atmosphere resulting from anthropogenic influence/sources.

Therefore, all greenhouse gases are compared to CO2, and we talk about CO2-equivalents.

Carbon dioxide equivalent (CDE) and Equivalent carbon dioxide (CO2e) are two related but distinct measures for describing how much global warming a given type and amount of greenhouse gas may cause, using the functionally equivalent amount or concentration of carbon dioxide (CO2) as the reference.

CO2-equivalents for common greenhouse gases:

CO2           1    (Carbon Dioxide)
C3H2F4        4    (2,3,3,3-Tetrafluoropropene)
H2            6    (Hydrogen)
CH4          25    (Methane)
N2O         298    (Nitrous Oxide)
C2H2F4     1430    (1,1,1,2-Tetrafluoroethane)
"CFC"     14400    (Chlorofluorocarbon)
"HFC"     14800    (Haloalkane)
NF3       17200    (Nitrogen trifluoride)
SF6       22800    (Sulfur hexafluoride)

But to answer your question: CO2 is the real threat to the climate regarding the anthropogenic greenhouse effect. Methane is also very important in global warming, but it's more difficult to say whether methane emissions result from natural or from anthropogenic sources.

Finally: The greenhouse gases with most concentration in the atmosphere:

  1. Water vapor (H2O)
  2. Carbon dioxide (CO2)
  3. Methane (CH4)
  4. Nitrous oxide (N2O)
  5. Ozone (O3)
  • 2
    One thing I always think, but never see mentioned in global warming discussions, is something we learn in grade school. Humans intake Oxygen and exhale Carbon Dioxide, and plants reverse the process. Sure, many of our machines are producing CO2 as well, which has contributed to the massive accumulation in the atmosphere. However, humans have removed a very significant portion of the planets natural vegetation, resulting in far lower processing of CO2->O2 than in the past. I think that global warming could be counteracted by aggressively replenishing the forests. – Prymaldark Jan 30 '13 at 14:49
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    It's important to note, though, that clouds have a complicated relationship to warming, in that they can either hold in heat, or reflect it back into space. The net effect depends on the kind of cloud, and altitude, basically. It's also important to note that water vapor is less of a concern because of a natural self-equilibrating effect. More water in the atmosphere will rain out back to us, and dryer air will increase the rate of evaporation, moistening the air again. CO2 and CH4 don't have quite the same natural balance point. – Nate Apr 21 '13 at 23:59
  • @Prymaldark, that's partially true. The problem is that the same core reason why we produce so much CO2 / CH4 is the same reason we can't easily replenish forests. There are too many people, using too much space (not just what they live on, but the space for roads, work spaces and farmland to keep a person alive). Then, there's non-GHG pollution (e.g. acid rain) that affects plant growth. Some say, if it warms, trees near the equator may die, but will be replaced by trees near the poles. But, as life hasn't flourished near the poles recently, that soil isn't rich, as trees need. – Nate Apr 22 '13 at 0:08

Yes, anthropogenic emissions of CO2 are a real threat: the scientific evidence for this is overwhelming. The IPCC summaries provide, every 6 or 7 years, an overview of all the science. The most recent completed one is AR4; AR5 is being finalised now, for publication over 2013-2014. The physical science basis is summarised by IPCC Working Group 1

And yes, some other anthropogenic emissions are, gramme-for-gramme, worse than CO2. Their total levels of emissions are all lower than CO2, and they have different lifetimes, which means that you need to pick a particular time horizon to calculate their relative global warming potential (GWP).

At a 100-year horizon, methane (CH4) is about 34 times as damaging as CO2, weight for weight. Whereas at a 20-year horizon, that factor is about 86.

Water vapour is more prevalent, and has a higher net feedback effect. However, we don't directly change the net amount of water vapour in the atmosphere: it regulates itself very quickly (days to months, rather than the years to centuries that methane and carbon dioxide take), so is considered a feedback rather than a forcing. Warmer air can hold more water vapour, so global warming from other greenhouse gases may increase the warming from water vapour.

To effectively fight catastrophic climate change, we need to cut emissions of carbon dioxide, methane, and the other greenhouse gases: industrialised nations have to cut their annual emissions by about 80% (on a CO2-equivalent basis), and fast (within 2-4 decades, with front-loaded cuts). That doesn't leave much room for any emissions. So it's about cutting CO2, CH4, N2O, HFC-23, HFC-134a, SF6, and so on.

  • Out of curiosity, how feasible is such an 80% cut, presumably without economic collapse? – Chris Travers Mar 24 '13 at 12:48
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    Technically and economically pretty straightforward. It's only the politics that's difficult. – EnergyNumbers Mar 24 '13 at 13:21
  • +1 for mentioning the difference in time scales... limiting CO2 emissions is the most effective method for fighting climate change as it's most persistent. Methane emissions will sort themselves out eventually - they are definitely a short-term concern, but long term it's better to address CO2. – LShaver Dec 12 '16 at 20:50

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