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It looks like a hubbert curve.

Has the wind industry peaked for new installation.

marked as duplicate by LShaver, gerrit, Jean-Paul Calderone, Jan Doggen, Fred Oct 8 at 1:31

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    You seem to be asking about a particular country, but haven't said which one. Please can you clarify? – EnergyNumbers Oct 7 at 5:40
  • While searching I found the image here in the cache of DuckDuckGo, but unfortunately the original source image is no longer available. It looks like it was part of this article so the graph is for the US. – THelper Oct 7 at 10:29
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No.

Hubbert curve has 50% resources used at the peak extraction (or construction, in your case).

Total wind potential is 95 terawatts (peak) or 28.5 terawatts average (at 30% capacity factor).

World electricity use is 21372 TWh or 2.44 terawatts average.

Even with 100% wind, we would be at 8.6% resource utilization, not at 50% resource utilization.

Actually, currently 4.4% of electricity is wind, so we're at 0.38% resource utilization. Far from 50%.

Only the sky is the limit. Wind power is plentiful enough that it could be used on a massive scale for totally new purposes, such as electrolysis of water to hydrogen on a massive scale, creating a hydrogen economy. And the hydrogen can be combined with carbon captured from biofuels, to create hydrocarbon fuels that won't contribute to net carbon dioxide emissions.

  • But what about the Graph – user8033 Oct 7 at 18:31
  • You can't just look at a graph and say that because it looks like Hubbert curve, therefore Hubbert model is the correct model to use. You could fit any model into the graph and get wildly different results. – juhist Oct 8 at 8:07

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